The average rate in US$ (constant currency) for a hotel room in the first six months of this year in Addis Ababa was $231.78/ night. This compares with $215.75 for a room in Lagos, $144.76 in Nairobi, $122.30 in Cape Town, $105.73 in Casablanca, $103.54 in Cairo, $72.90 in Johannesburg and $70.70 in Sharm El Sheikh.
With the price of a hotel room in Nairobi almost double that in Jo’berg, and the room rate in Addis is 60% more expensive than Nairobi, why are prices so different?
Thomas Emanuel, Director of Business Development, STR Global, says: “A great deal of the reason for the difference in rates across major African cities is simply supply and demand.” Addis Ababa has a shortage of top quality hotels. However, with the Ethiopian economy growing at a rapid rate of more than 10% per annum for the whole of the last decade, with more conferences coming to the city by virtue of its status as the seat of the African Union, and with Ethiopian Airways on a similar growth trajectory to the country thanks to new routes and increased passenger numbers, there is a high demand for premium hotel rooms. By comparison, Johannesburg is a long-established, sophisticated international city, with a large number of 5-star hotels and a competitive market for accommodation.
Africa Table ALooking at how hotel prices have changed over the past year (year to date June ’14-’15), there have been substantial rate rises in Sharm El Sheikh – up 42.5%, Addis Ababa – up 14.9%, Johannesburg – up 11.0%, Cape Town – up 10.8% and Cairo – up 10.6%. There has been a recovery in Lagos – up 5.8%, whilst Nairobi is broadly the same and Casablanca has suffered a 4.0% decline.
The increases in Sharm El Sheikh and Cairo can be explained as a recovery in tourism to Egypt following several years of political unrest. Cape Town’s improvement is due predominantly to increased demand and no recent increases in supply since the 2010 World Cup. In the face of the recent terrorism incidents in Kenya, Nairobi’s hoteliers have chosen to maintain rates but they have suffered with lower occupancy.
The rise in room rates in Lagos cannot be explained simply by supply and demand because there has been a combination of factors that would normally be expected to exert a downward pressure on price. First, there is a hotel development boom in Lagos, with 3,611 new hotel rooms in the pipeline according to W Hospitality Group. Second, there has been a collapse in the oil price, which is damaging Nigeria’s heavily oil-dependent economy and third, occupancy has fallen below 50%. The rate decline in Casablanca is due in part to economic weakness in France, its major source market and in part to currency fluctuations.
At AHIF, Thomas will be reporting on year-on-year hotel performance in some of Africa’s key markets and adding further interpretation and analysis of the main trends. Matthew Weihs, Managing Director, Bench Events, which organises AHIF, concluded: “The wide disparity in room rates, with exceptional prices being achieved in places where there is a shortage of supply, make it clear that there are parts of Africa that offer very attractive prospects for hotel investors. The best way to gain a deeper understanding of this industry is to come to Addis and meet the people who are driving it forward.”
AHIF is a gathering of international investors in hotels in Africa. It takes place in Addis Ababa on Sept 30 – Oct 1.
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